Friday, July 4, 2014

Save for the rainy days



Savings forecast: It will always rain
Last updated: Thursday, July 3, 2014, 12:17 AM

SAVING FOR AN emergency is supposed to be the key to establishing a financial safety net. Yet studies continue to show that people aren't putting their money away. The latest evidence comes courtesy of Bankrate.com, which on a monthly basis takes the pulse of how secure people feel about their personal financial situations.

Those of you who save and do it as easily as you breathe might not understand why having an emergency fund is still an issue for so many people. Nonetheless, 26 percent of Americans have no savings cushion, according to Bankrate.com. An overwhelming majority of Americans don't have the recommended six months of living expenses saved.

And who are the worst at saving for that rainy day?

Bankrate.com found people between 30 and 49 are more likely than any other age group to not have an emergency fund.

Here's something that surprised me about the latest savings results. Young adults are more likely to have at least five months of living expenses saved.

Yes, you read that right. The millennials, those aged 18 to 30 who we older folks complain are too entitled, are actually saving. But for good reason, says Greg McBride, Bankrate.com's chief financial analyst.
"They tend to have lower expenses," McBride said. "They don't have to put away as much because they are likely living at home with their parents or have roommates. People 30 to 49 are more likely to not have emergency savings because those are the years they have a house, two or three kids and a dog. But they need the emergency savings more than anybody."

It's not that people don't know they need to save, especially with the Great Recession a close memory.
"There has been an attitude shift," McBride said. "People recognize they don't have enough savings and know they aren't making progress. Savings is a consistent sore spot with consumers when it comes to financial security. But nothing helps you sleep better at night than knowing you have money tucked about in the event of unplanned expenses. Savings provides a critical buffer between you and high-cost debt or other financial distress."

Understandably, one obvious reason people don't have enough money saved is because they are struggling to cover their basic expenses.

But there's another barrier to saving.

"Americans have fallen out of the saving habit," according to a recent report by Oxford Economics sponsored by a group of financial and public-policy organizations.
Even before the recession, the savings rate in America was pitiful. It's better now at almost 4 percent but still not good enough.

"Projecting the current rate forward, and adjusting only for the aging of the population, we found that the saving rate will fall to an extremely low 3 percent in the 2030s," the report noted. "If Americans are not able to save a significant amount of financial capital, millions of working households will have to choose between working much longer, accepting a lower standard of living in retirement - or running out of money altogether."
I get so frustrated when people say they've saved up for their summer vacation even though they will admit to not having any emergency funds or very little. You aren't entitled to a vacation until you have a cushion for the things in life that happen - a major car repair, a broken air-conditioning system when the temperatures are reaching triple digits or a family emergency or death. You have to plan for the unexpected.
"Undersaving at the national level could also place the economy and government on an unsustainable path, marked by an ever-increasing external debt that could ultimately undermine financial stability," the Oxford Economics report said.

Are you alarmed now?
If not, you should be. We've got to become a nation of habitual savers, which is why I was so pleased to see so many young adults catching the savings fever early.
I've seen it with my own 19-year-old. She works during the summer and saves pretty much all she earns so she will have funds for the things she needs during the school year. This past year, her first year in college, she was always complaining that she didn't have any money. But she did. She had it in her savings, which she withdrew in a self-imposed monthly allowance.
"If you can start to save when your income is low and build the habit when income is low, it will stay with you as your income grows," McBride said.
If you are struggling with saving, consider what my grandmother "Big Mama" would always say to encourage me: "You have to save for a rainy day, because it's going to rain."

Michelle Singletary 

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Interesting find, "beta"

Betting on boring brings stock outperformance in 2014

NEW YORK Tue Jun 10, 2014 7:12am EDT


(Reuters) - Largely ignored during much of last year's 30 percent rally in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, the stocks leading the U.S. market this year rank among its usually sleepiest components.
The best sector in 2014 is utilities, including Consolidated Edison, about as staid a group as one can get. They're up 14.5 percent on a total return basis this year, compared with 6.4 percent for the S&P 500 as a whole.
What's happening is the opposite of what ordinarily happens in a moving market. It relates to an investing concept known as "beta," which refers to the amount of risk a particular stock adds to a portfolio. Stocks that tend to rise or fall with the market – but in a more pronounced way – are called "high beta." They generally outperform in up markets and fall the most in down markets.
Best Buy and Priceline, two discretionary stocks that were among the S&P's strongest in 2013, are good examples because their sales and profits rise along with the economy, and they led the way last year.
This year, those stocks are lagging the more boring "low beta" stocks – those that tend to move less dramatically than the market. It's a signal that investors are worried aboutearnings growth and U.S. economic demand, and don't want to bet as heavily on the types of stocks that generally qualify as high beta – often cyclical names in the technology, discretionary and energy sectors.
To be sure, this may change if growth picks up, but after U.S. gross domestic product contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, investors are cautious.
"You see this all over the place -- people are still scared," said Richard Bernstein, CEO of Richard Bernstein Advisors in New York. "They're still more worried about protecting to the downside than accentuating the upside."
That's helped drive equities' rotation into the more defensive, high-dividend paying names, also typically part of the low-beta camp.
So far this year, the 50 stocks in the S&P 500 with the lowest beta scores - a group that includes ConEd and McDonald's - are up on average by 12 percent. Meanwhile, the 50 highest beta stocks, which include Citigroup and Best Buy, are up an average of 7 percent.
In 2013, the 50 highest-beta S&P 500 stocks rose an average of 51.4 percent, compared with 21.3 percent for the 50 lowest-beta stocks.
Investors who have pursued the high-beta contingent have suffered. Among them are hedge funds, which kept a heavy exposure to momentum-type names and the "beta" strategy.
Hedge funds now have 3.8 times more net cyclical exposure to defensive stocks, said Jon Kinderlerer, a managing director at Credit Suisse. In January, that measure was 4.7 times - bets that went sour as the market corrected through the first quarter.
"Once that trade began to break, that also accelerated a rotation back into more value-oriented names and sectors," said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia.
BIGGER DIVIDENDS, HIGHER VALUATIONS
This year's winners deliver nearly twice the dividend yield than their high-beta counterparts. Stocks with the lowest betas have an average dividend yield of 3.1 percent compared with 1.7 percent for high-beta stocks, Thomson Reuters data shows.
What's unusual is that S&P's high-beta stocks are at some of their cheapest valuations ever relative to the S&P 500, said Bernstein, whose data goes back to 1986.
To Bernstein, that's a positive sign for the market's long-term health as it shows investors aren't overpaying for growth. "Find me a market peak where investors have been scared of beta," he said.
He noted, however, that there are plenty of high-beta names among the broader stock universe like the Russell 2000 with rich valuations - companies like Monster Worldwide - which aren't in the S&P 500.
Among stocks with the highest betas in the S&P 500, Seagate Technology has a P/E of just 10.6, while Hartford Financial Services Group has a P/E of 10.9.
The high beta stocks currently have a median P/E of 15.2 versus a median P/E of 16.4 for all of the S&P 500 stocks with beta scores. The low beta names have a median P/E of 16.1.
Growth sectors have rebounded in recent sessions as the earnings outlook has improved, with calendar year 2014 estimates rising to 9.1 percent as of June 6 from 8.7 percent on April 1, according to Thomson Reuters data.
"Everything is hanging on the estimates for growth in the second half. How that plays out will determine whether higher beta or low beta outperform for the year," said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.

(Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch. Editing by David Gaffen and John Pickering)

We Filipinos are on the same page

i'm pretty sure you can relate to this article. #YOLO

Americans Live for Today Rather Than for Retirement

BY MainStreet | 06/02/14 - 06:16 PM EDT

By Hal M. Bundrick
NEW YORK (MainStreet) Americans live for today but worry about tomorrow. Even though many of us fear running out of money during retirement, we are unwilling to change our current spending habits, according to a Merrill Lynch survey of "mass affluent" individuals with $50,000 to $250,000 in investable assets. Having enough money to live "in the here and now" is a bigger priority for most of those surveyed (63%) than saving more for the future (48%).

While many fear losing a job (37%), public speaking (27%) or gaining weight (25%) most (55%) worry about not having enough money to last throughout retirement. But few will reduce outlays for entertainment, eating out or vacations to save more money for life after work. However, most parents will cut spending in order to help their children -- more than one-third (35%) say they have withdrawn funds from their savings or investment accounts to help their kids out during a financial bind.

"Many mass affluent investors are taking more of a "live for today" financial approach than you might expect given their fear of running out of money in retirement," said Aron Levine of Bank of America. "That type of disconnect might have a significant impact on the long-term financial well-being of these investors."
This "carpe diem" disposition is deep rooted: even if they were to receive an unexpected million-dollars, less than one in five (19%) say they would make it a priority to set aside the windfall for retirement.

Over two-thirds (68%) of survey participants who are divorced say they are worried about not having enough money during retirement, compared to 53% of those who are single, married or widowed.
And in matters of love and money, these upscale Americans are most likely to be attracted to someone with an appealing sense of humor (74%) or to a mate they have chemistry with (66%), rather than financial stability (49%) or money saved (20%). Though women are more than twice as likely as men to be attracted to someone with a stable job (51% vs. 24%) and almost twice as likely to be attracted to someone who has financial stability (64% vs. 33%).

Millennials (18-34 adults) are more than twice as likely as other age groups to be attracted to someone who has some money saved (37%) while Gen-Xers (35-50) are more likely to be drawn to people who have financial stability (59%).


--Written by Hal M. Bundrick for MainStreet

Sunday, June 8, 2014

Investing: Use the Rule of 72

Use the Rule of 72


You’ve probably wondered “How long will it take to double my investment at a given rate of return?” 

The Thumb rule of 72 comes in handy here.

Just divide 72 by the interest rate and you have the number of years it takes to double your money, roughly. For example, if the interest rate is 8%, your money doubles in about 9 years (72/8 = 9).

The rule of 72 can help you weigh your investment options.

Monday, May 12, 2014

TOO YOUNG TO SAVE FOR RETIREMENT? HERE ARE 10 REASONS WHY YOU SHOULD.



For almost all young adults who have just started their first job, or who are just getting ready to settle down and marry, planning for their retirement is not at all in their minds.  For those who have just gotten their first job, the experience of receiving your paycheck is a thrilling and empowering feeling.  Now you have money to spend for the things you’ve always wanted to get.  Billboards and glitzy print ads beckon you to accumulate all sorts of products and services that make you enjoy the life that you feel entitled to.  At last!





But, listen, time waits for no one.  Sooner or later, you will find yourself with a closet full of out of fashion clothes, outdated gadgets, and toys that you have outgrown.  Worse still, you may still have credit card bills to pay for these things, and zero cash saved up for even your next vacation to Boracay.  This time will come, if you’re not careful.  And believe me, that time could just be around the corner.

If you’re smart, you should begin to plan for your retirement as soon as you receive your first pay check!  Here are ten reasons why you should prepare now:

1.  If you are employed, and your company is setting aside money for your SSS or GSIS or company retirement, guess what?  What your company is setting aside is not going to be enough.  

2. Time is in your favor.  Who has more time to save for retirement at age 60?  You, or your uncle who is 30 years older than you?

3.  Because of # 1, you don’t have to sacrifice a lot in order to save a lot.  If you and your uncle wanted to accumulate P1 Million by the time you’re both 60, you would have to save a smaller amount regularly, because you have more time to save.  Right?

4.  You can make more aggressive investments now but get rewarded with higher returns.  Usually, these higher risk investments  have a way of recovering very well over a longer period of time. 

5. Inflation is not in your favor.  You know it.  Don’t be in denial.  It will cost you more to retire than earlier generations ahead of you.  So, don’t think that it will be affordable enough for you by that time. 

6. You can start small and grow. Even setting aside a small portion of your paycheck each month will pay off in big pesos later.

7. It’s easier to develop the habit of saving while you are young and you have no major obligations.
8. As you accumulate savings over time, your money will starting working for you, rather than you working for money. 

9. No matter how much you love your parents, do you like the idea of supporting your parents because they failed to save for their retirement?  Well, don’t impose your failure to save on your children.  They deserve a life of their own.

10. It’s great to enjoy your savings!  Imagine the nice and easy life you can enjoy when you have saved enough.  If you want to keep working even when you’re old, you will go to work because you like to, not because you have to.  And – when you have saved enough to take care of a comfortable lifestyle – you can occupy yourself with work which probably won’t pay much, but which will be fun and self-fulfilling.

This is courtesy of Save and Learn of FAMI. 

Sunday, May 11, 2014

Retirement. Start Now. Start Early

According to someone, when you are saving for retirement you are buying the days that you don't have to work anymore in the future. This is very true indeed. Maybe you could go to Boracay anytime you want with money to spare, simply because you earned it and you have the financial freedom to do so. Who doesn't want that?






Well, if you want a life where you could go to the a beach instantly when you wished to in your golden years, and no one won't stop you (except maybe the bad weather of course), you have to start investing for your retirement early while you are still young. To summarize what i have in mind, please watch the video below:




Hope you get to see my point. So what do you think? Please leave a comment below.

Trust no one

I really admire Sir John Mangun, a stock trader and a columnist from Business Mirror, for his insights about the stock market. With his brilliant mind and experience, he writes his columns in a very simple way, even high school students can surely understand the things he says. It's very timely to share this article he wrote:

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/index.php/en/news/opinion/31829-stock-trading-the-zombie-apocalypse

So true. In the noisy stock market, you really have to walk away sometimes to think about why you're on it in the first place.

Read more from him in Business Mirror every TTHS.